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Журнал Александра Киреева: о политике, выборах и не только. [entries|archive|friends|userinfo]
Александр Киреев

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Карта изменения отношения к Америке 2016-2017 в ЕС [Jan. 18th, 2018|09:15 am]
Александр Киреев
Изменение отношения к США между 2016 и 2017 г. показывает сильное разделение между Западной и Восточной Европой (внутри ЕС). Трамп значительно ухудшил мнение о США в Западной Европе, и лишь немножко в Восточной Европе. А в Венгрии был даже рост +8%, это логично - сейчас это одна из самых, если не самая националистическая страна в Европе. Вторая, Болгария, близка России по языку, культуре и истории. Интересно, что в Словении относительно небольшое падение, вероятно, влияние Меланьи.

В ряде случаев было бы интересно посмотреть данные по регионам или разным социально-демографческим группам внутри стран. Скажем, наверняка же в Прибалтике отношение к Америке как минимум не ухудшилось среди русских, но ухудшилось среди прибалтов. Или же какое разделение между Западной и Восточной Германией, Южной и Северной Италией. А может быть и в Польше и Румынии будут видны исторические границы?

Данные из Евробарометра 2017 г.



Источник
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Comments:
From: oleg_lisowski
2018-01-19 08:08 am (UTC)
Процитирую Евробарометр:
The country level trends since 2016 generally follow those at EU level. In most countries, respondents
are now more likely to have a positive view of France and Germany, but are less likely to have a
positive view of the United States or China. The trends for the United Kingdom and Russia, on the
other hand, are mixed.
In 20 countries respondents are more likely to have a positive view of France than they were in 2016,
with the largest increases observed amongst those in Luxembourg (79%, +22 percentage points),
France (77%, +10) and Austria (75%, +10). In contrast, respondents in six countries are now less
likely to have a positive view of France, most notably in Slovakia (67%, -14). Opinion is unchanged in
Latvia and Lithuania.
Respondents in 19 countries are now more likely to have a positive view of Germany, and this is
particularly the case amongst respondents in Austria (76%, +15 percentage points), Portugal (57%,
+9) and Spain (72%, +9). However, the reverse is true in seven countries, especially in Slovakia (58%,
-13). No change in the Netherlands and Lithuania.
When it comes to the United Kingdom, there is more variation – in 14 countries respondents are now
more likely to be positive, while in 12 they are less likely to be so. The largest changes are a sevenpercentage
point increase in the proportion of respondents in Poland (at 77%) with a positive view,
and a 15-point decrease in Slovakia (at 63%). No change in Latvia and Lithuania.
In 25 countries, respondents are now less likely to have a positive view of the United States, and in
many cases the declines are substantial: Malta (38%, -34 percentage points), Portugal (41%, -31)
and the Netherlands (34%, -29). Hungary (63%, +8) and Bulgaria (55%, +4) are the only countries
where opinion is now more positive, while there has been no change amongst those in Romania.
Respondents in 20 countries are now less likely to have a positive view of China, with the largest
declines observed amongst those in Malta (30%, -14 percentage points), Slovakia (36%, -13), France
(21%, -10), Ireland (39%, -10) and the Czech Republic (25%, -10).
Respondents in 15 Member States are now less likely to have a positive view of Russia than they
were in 2016, with the most important decreases in Malta (23%, -14 percentage points), Italy (35%,
-12) and Slovakia (50%, -11). Those in ten countries are now more likely to be positive, especially in
Finland (24%, +6). No change in Poland, Luxembourg and Denmark.
(Reply) (Thread)
From: oleg_lisowski
2018-01-19 08:33 am (UTC)
´´ FR DE UK US CN RU
EU 74 72 64 45 32 28
AT 75 76 65 40 34 32
BE 77 79 53 37 34 20
BG 80 76 64 55 47 70
CY 70 43 54 44 58 69
CZ 71 59 80 55 25 31
DE 80 90 49 22 26 20
DK 84 93 77 48 32 11
EE 72 76 68 51 43 34
EL 73 24 51 38 45 59
ES 76 72 58 45 29 28
FI 82 88 70 43 36 24
FR 77 72 52 33 21 20
HR 80 88 73 59 54 50
HU 64 67 73 63 40 38
IE 79 76 66 48 39 27
IT 66 59 67 55 29 35
LT 85 90 79 76 49 39
LU 79 81 47 29 24 21
LV 75 82 72 54 51 46
MT 69 73 61 38 30 23
NL 77 95 64 34 32 11
PL 68 68 77 79 36 27
PT 78 57 63 41 37 22
RO 78 79 76 75 56 47
SE 87 94 73 41 31 15
SI 78 83 65 42 41 49
SK 67 58 63 44 36 50
UK 63 64 80 40 39 24
(Reply) (Thread)
From: oleg_lisowski
2018-01-19 08:40 am (UTC)
И в завершение
The socio-demographic analysis highlights the following:
§ The older the respondents, the less likely they are to have a positive view about any of the mentioned countries, although the trend is most pronounced for the United Kingdom, the United States, and China. For example, 53% of those aged 15-24 hold a positive view of the United States, compared to 39% of those aged 55 and over;
§ The longer respondents remained in education, the more likely they are to have a positive view of each country – with the exception of Russia, where there is no notable difference. For example, 67% of those who continued their studies until the age of 20 or later have a positive
view of the United Kingdom, compared to 51% of those who finished their studies at the age of 15 or younger;
§ Managers are the most likely to have a positive view of Germany (83%) or France (81%), while students are the most likely to have a positive view of the United Kingdom (74%) or the United States (50%);
§ The fewer financial difficulties a respondent experiences, the more likely he or she is to have a
positive view of Germany, France or the United Kingdom. Those with the least financial difficulties are, however, the least likely to have a positive view of Russia (25% vs. 34% of those who have difficulties paying bills most of the time or from time to time);
§ Respondents who classify themselves as upper class are much more likely to have a positive view of the United Kingdom (78%) or the USA (70%);
§ Finally, respondents who have a positive image of the EU are more likely to also have a positive view of Germany (87% vs. 45% for those who have a negative image of the EU), France (87% vs. 47%), the United Kingdom (68% vs. 58%), the USA (49% vs. 36%), China (37% vs. 25%), and Russia (29% vs. 27%).

На странице 89 подробная таблица (загрузка файла, не в браузере)
http://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/index.cfm/ResultDoc/download/DocumentKy/81145

Edited at 2018-01-19 08:44 am (UTC)
(Reply) (Thread)
[User Picture]From: kireev
2018-01-19 01:42 pm (UTC)
=§ The longer respondents remained in education, the more likely they are to have a positive view of each country – with the exception of Russia, where there is no notable difference. For example, 67% of those who continued their studies until the age of 20 or later have a positive
view of the United Kingdom, compared to 51% of those who finished their studies at the age of 15 or younger;=

Вот это интересно. Еще и у Китая близко. То есть авторитаризм страны явно играет роль в распределении по уровню образования.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)
From: oldkettle
2018-01-21 10:22 am (UTC)
Не могу говорить о других странах, а в UK это показывает только влияние СМИ. Поток говна про Трампа нескончаемый. Поскольку, в отличие от американцев, местные никаких плюшек от его президентства не получают, им нечего противопоставить пропаганде.
(Reply) (Thread)