June 6th, 2009

Опросы общественного мнения в Иране

Во время выборов в Европарламент не следует забывать и о важных президентских выборах в Иране, которые состоятся в 12 июня. Но опросы общественного мнения дают настолько разные данные, что это даже забавно. Судите сами по этой таблице на страничке выборов в Википедии:

Polling OrganisationDatePoll detailsCandidate
Mahmoud AhmadinejadMehdi KarroubiMir-Hossein MousaviMohsen Rezaei
reported by Rajanews/Press TV[20]before 1 June 2009major cities53%Unknown36%Unknown
Baznevi, reported by Tabnak[21]before 31 May 2009Nationwide; 77,058 people33%3%36%27%
Aftab News, reported by Tabnak[21]before 31 May 2009Nationwide; 18,391 people; Who will you not vote for?(62%)(7%)(28%)(4%)
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[21]31 May 2009Nationwide32%6%36%27%
reported by Rayemelat[22]before 27 May 2009Tehran only36%9%48%5%
Young Journalists Club (IRIB affiliated)[23]before 30 May 2009Nationwide; 30,000 people1st2nd3rd4th
reported by Ayandeh News[24]before 26 May 200910 major cities34%Unknown38%Unknown
IRIB[24]before 26 May 2009Tehran only43%Unknown47%Unknown
reported by Rayemelat[25]14 May 2009Tehran only42%6%44%4%
Etemad-e-Melli[26]before 13 May 2009Nationwide1st2nd3rd4th
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[21]5 May 2009Nationwide38%12%32%15%
reported by Rajanews/Press TV[27][28]3 May 2009–4 May 200962 cities59%Unknown22%Unknown
Government[27]before 3 May 2009Unknown54% (45% in Tehran)Unknown22% (29% in Tehran)Unknown
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[21]4 April 2009Nationwide40%8%24%1%
Worker's Statistical Institute[29]late March 2009Nationwide survey of workers36%8%52%Unknown
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[21]5 March 2009Nationwide44%7%13%0%